Study On the Complexity of the Bullwhip Effect
摘要
Recent years have witnessed a rapid growth of interest in the study of the dynamic behavior of replenishment rules of Bullwhip Effect. We prove that Bullwhip Effect and butterfly effect share a same the self-oscillation amplifying mechanism that is the ordering decisions the supplier self-oscillation amplify the perturbations brought by the errors in the processing of retailers' demand information. This results as an explicit self-similar structure of the sensitivity of the system to the initial values duty to the nonlinear mechanism. In this paper, the causes process of the Bullwhip Effect is described as the internal nonlinear mechanism and study on the complexity of Bullwhip Effect for order-up-to policy under demand signal processing. The methodology is based on fractal and chaotic theory and allows important insights to be gained about the complexity behavior of Bullwhip Effect.